Hi everyone. I doubled my short position on TSLA at 450 today. My original stop loss on the 487 short was at 600, but moved the overall stop to 550 now, with a mental stop at the previous highs near 500. The overall risk on the trade is still the same or less than before.
If TSLA hits the maximum stop, it’s a 1.5% loss, while if I stop myself out a bit earlier near previous highs, it’s a loss of .5% to my account.
I think there’s a good chance that TSLA powers upwards until Battery day on 9/22/2020, but the risk/reward to the downside is too juicy to pass up on for this trade. The trade idea fails if or when TSLA breaks to new highs, so that is when I will close the short position. I’m looking for a quick continuation of the downtrend here, so if it doesn’t happen within 2-3 weeks, I will exit the trade.
Have a nice rest of the week!
Thanks for the update, Nathan. Would you mind in the next week post talk about the negative RSI divergence on monthly chart on SPY/SPX where in RSI peaked in jan 2018 and we are making lower highs since then but the price is making higher highs. I know you heavily follow this strategy, I am curious to hear your thoughts on this.
Especially, how we use this data to our advantage without becoming bearish near term as it might take a long time to show any impact even if the divergence is indicating something is wrong. Also, what do be point the divergence shows the real impact on price as well?
I would appreciate if you could share your overall long term outlook of the market given the divergence on monthly (If divergence on monthly is not a big deal just reply here). Thanks much for your work!
Good luck with your tsla trade.
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**Corrected**
Especially, how can we use this data to our advantage without becoming bearish near term as it might take a long time to show any impact even if the divergence is indicating something is wrong. Also, what would be point the divergence shows the real impact on price as well?
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Hi Vamsu, thanks for the question. I’ll make a post about the Monthly RSI divergence during this week’s blog. If I somehow forget, please remind me.
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